Australia Grapples with Prolonged Economic Slowdown

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), in its recent economic outlook, revised Australia's GDP growth projection for 2024 downwards-from an anticipated 1.5% growth to a more conservative 1.1%. Looking further ahead, it forecasts a gradual recovery with an expected GDP increase of 1.8% by 2025.

Despite these projections, Australia's population growth of 2.4% for the year ending June 2024 tends to exacerbate the per capita recession, hinting that this economic hardship might persist beyond previous expectations. The ramifications of these economic conditions are predominately felt by average households.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's steadfast approach in raising interest rates has placed a substantial burden on household budgets. This has led to a 2.4% reduction in household consumption from its apex in real per capita terms.

More noticeably, real per capita household disposable income plunged by an unprecedented 8% from its earlier highs. This constitutes the steepest decline observed in contemporary economic analysis according to recent statistics from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

August figures from the ABS Household Spending Indicator reported stagnant spending in nominal terms, succeeding prior decreases of 0.5% in July and 0.1% in June. Robert Ewing, head of business statistics at ABS, observed, "Growth in household spending has stalled at the start of the financial year, even as the Federal government's Stage 3 tax cuts came into effect on 1 July".

An analytical depiction by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, matched ABS Household Spending Indicator data with household consumption figures from quarterly national accounts. The analysis suggests a persisting frailty in these accounts throughout Q3, indicating that the current recession per capita is far from over.

The new policies, including the Stage 3 tax cuts designed to boost economic engagement and consumer spending, appear to have offered limited relief as the economy remains dormant. Acknowledging information from the original source, The OECD Digest, it's evident that while several measures are in play, the anticipated economic rejuvenation remains elusive.

Published:Tuesday, 8th Oct 2024
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: We do not endorse any specific products or companies. Some content is sourced from third parties, including press releases, and may not be independently verified for accuracy or completeness.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Macquarie Bank's Strategic Alliance with Mortgage Brokers Fuels 28% Growth in Home Loan Portfolio

27 May 2026: Paige Estritori

In a notable development within Australia's mortgage sector, Macquarie Bank has reported a substantial 28% increase in its home loan portfolio, reaching $181.3 billion as of 31 March 2026. This growth is primarily attributed to the bank's strategic collaboration with mortgage brokers, who were responsible for originating over 95% of new home loans during the financial year. - read more

Understanding the Impact of the RBA's May 2026 Cash Rate Increase on Home Loans

27 May 2026: Paige Estritori

On 5 May 2026, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced a 25 basis point increase to the official cash rate, bringing it to 4.35%. This marks the third consecutive rate hike this year, reflecting the central bank's efforts to address rising inflation and economic growth concerns. - read more

Over Two Dozen Lenders Maintain Home Loan Rates Amid RBA Hike

19 May 2026: Paige Estritori

In the wake of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent decision to increase the cash rate by 0.25 percentage points, a notable segment of the lending market has chosen a different path. Over two dozen lenders, including prominent names like Citi and RAMS, have yet to implement corresponding hikes in their home loan interest rates. This divergence presents a unique opportunity for borrowers seeking stability amidst a climate of rising rates. - read more

APRA Introduces New Cap on High Debt-to-Income Home Loans

11 May 2026: Paige Estritori

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has implemented a significant policy change aimed at bolstering financial stability within the housing market. Effective from 1 February 2026, APRA has imposed a cap limiting banks to issuing no more than 20% of new home loans to borrowers with a debt-to-income (DTI) ratio of six times or higher. This measure is designed to curb the rise in high-risk lending practices and mitigate potential vulnerabilities in the financial system. - read more

Australian Banks Respond to RBA's Interest Rate Increase

11 May 2026: Paige Estritori

In response to the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent decision to raise the official cash rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.85%, Australia's major banks have announced corresponding increases in their home loan variable interest rates. This move marks the first cash rate hike in two years and reflects the central bank's efforts to address rising inflation and economic growth concerns. - read more

Click for more Finance News