Australian Inflation Eases, Indicating RBA Rate Cuts May Follow

The information on this website is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation, or needs. Consider seeking personal advice from a licensed adviser before acting on any information.

Declining housing inflation significantly contributes to this disinflationary trend. Lower rents and new home prices have been identified as key factors supporting the fall in the trimmed-mean inflation. The NAB business survey and S&P PMIs further confirm this pattern, showing a consistent disinflation process in February and March.

Additionally, wage data aligns with this downward inflation trend. The Q4 2024 Wage Price Index (WPI) exhibited growth of only 0.65% for the quarter, marking it as the most subdued quarterly increase since the start of 2022. This element of wage data supports the notion that inflationary pressures are easing.

The implications for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are significant. With softer-than-expected inflation and wage data, the RBA appears poised to lower interest rates. Economists widely anticipate a rate cut at the RBA’s May board meeting, contingent upon the Q1 CPI findings. The market anticipates further rate reductions throughout the year, suggesting a proactive approach from the RBA to support economic stability.

The combination of easing inflation and moderated wage growth bodes well for consumers and businesses, potentially enhancing purchasing power and stimulating economic activity. As the financial landscape adjusts to these changes, all eyes will be on the RBA’s forthcoming decisions and how these will shape Australia's economic trajectory.

Published:Tuesday, 1st Apr 2025
Author: Paige Estritori

Please Note: If this information affects you, seek advice from a licensed professional.

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

KPMG Forecasts 7.7% Rise in Australian House Prices for 2026

24 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

According to KPMG's latest Residential Property Outlook, Australian house prices are projected to increase by 7.7% in 2026. This forecast indicates a continuation of the strong momentum observed in the property market during the latter half of 2025, driven by government policies and inflationary pressures. - read more

ANZ Predicts Diverging Trends in Australian Housing Market for 2026

24 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

ANZ Research has indicated that Australia's housing market may be approaching a modest slowdown, with regional variations becoming more pronounced. Economists Madeline Dunk and Jack Chambers suggest that leading indicators point to fading momentum, particularly in certain areas. - read more

Economists Forecast Minimum 5% Increase in Australian House Prices for 2026

24 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

Following an 8.6% increase in 2025, Australian residential property values are expected to rise by at least 5% over the next 12 months. This projection reflects ongoing demand outstripping supply, contributing to the nation's housing affordability challenges. - read more

Australian Mortgage Market Reaches Record High Amidst Surging Property Prices

16 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

Australia's mortgage market has achieved a new milestone, with the total value of residential mortgages reaching $2.41 trillion. This record-breaking figure reflects a 0.67% increase from the previous month and a 6.36% rise over the past year, as reported by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA). - read more

Australian Mortgage Stress Declines to Three-Year Low Amidst Economic Shifts

16 Mar 2026: Paige Estritori

Recent data indicates that mortgage stress among Australian homeowners has decreased to its lowest level in three years. In the three months leading up to December 2025, 24.5% of mortgage holders were classified as 'at risk,' a decline of 3.4 percentage points since August. This improvement is largely attributed to previous rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). - read more

Click for more Finance News